PREAKNESS STAKES 2019

Improbable [ HRN odds: 3-1 – 4 th Kentucky Derby – City Zip – B. Baffert/M. Smith – 6: 3-2-0 - $769,520] Improbable left the gates as the Kentucky Derby favorite. He established a nice early position, ran into traffic in the stretch and finished with a mild rally, 3 1/4 lengths behind. He’s likely to be the favorite again and a big field will not be an issue this time. Some will say that he’s had trip problems this year and others might feel that this Bob Baffert runner is piling up excuses. He’ll get Mike Smith in the saddle which means that he should be fairly close to the lead. Likely favorite.

War of Will [ HRN odds: 7-2 – 7 th Kentucky Derby – War Front – M. Casse/T. Gaffalione – 9: 3-1-1 - $501,569] According to the Kentucky Derby's official chart, War of Will was “forced out and had to check at the 5/16ths pole.” For much of the early going, War of Will was under strong restraint from his rider without room to run along the inside. He did come up a bit empty in deep stretch, but given his trip that was understandable. In a smaller field, he should be able to run the kind of race we saw in the Risen Star (G2) and the Lecomte (G3) unless the rigors of his 2019 campaign catch up to him. Derby horses do hold the advantage in the Preakness. Win contender.

Alwaysmining [ HRN odds: 5-1 – 1 st Frederico Tesio - Stay Thirsty – K. Rubley/D. Centeno – 12: 7-0-1 - $386,192] This is the ultimate Maryland horse having been bred in state as a son of Stay Thirsty. He is stabled and at the Fair Hill Training Center by Kelly Rubley. The speedy colt has won six races in a row at Laurel Park while gradually increasing his distance from seven furlongs to his most recent victory going 1 1/8 miles in the Frederico Tesio. In the Tesio, he was able to rate and stalk the early pace, but the results were the same as in his front-running wins with yet another open-lengths victory. His last five wins came in stakes races, but he has yet to try graded company. Preakness history is against him, but his talent is undeniable. My top choice.


Bourbon War [ HRN odds: 6-1 – 4 th Florida Derby – Tapit – M. Hennig/I. Ortiz Jr. – 5: 2-1-0 - $202,100] This bay son of Tapit flashed his talent on the Derby trail at Gulfstream Park. He took advantage of the favorable pace setup in the Fountain of Youth (G2) and was closing fastest of all to finish less than a length behind Code of Honor who went on to run second in the Kentucky Derby. In the Florida Derby (G1), Bourbon War did not get the same fast pace and could not muster a big rally. There appears to be plenty of speed signed on in here. He should benefit from the time off and continue to improve. Exotics player.

Owendale [ HRN odds: 6-1 – 1 st Lexington – Into Mischief – B. Cox/F. Geroux – 8: 3-1-1 - $187,225] Owendale burst onto the scene when he made a big closing move to win the Lexington (G3) in the last stop on the Derby trail. The 20 points were not enough to get him into the Derby, but his victory over the favorite Anothertwistafate was noteworthy. He is one of several late runners in the Preakness who should get a favorable pace to lead into their closing move. Use underneath.

Anothertwistafate [ HRN odds: 10-1 – 2 nd Lexington – Scat Daddy – B. Wright/J. Ortiz – 6: 3-2-0 - $303,505] The son of Scat Daddy was a bit of a buzz horse on the Kentucky Derby trail after his win in the El Camino Real Derby. He took that victory to the Sunland Derby (G3), where he sat behind the early pace in his dirt debut and rallied to just miss the top spot by a neck. His final attempt to make the Derby field came up short when he was again second after a troubled trip in the Lexington. He should not be overlooked in here because of his combination of speed and the ability to rate off the leaders. Win contender.

Win Win Win [ HRN odds: 10-1 – 9 th Kentucky Derby – Hat Trick – M. Trombetta/J. Pimentel – 7: 3-2-1 - $367,300] Except for the Kentucky Derby, he has hit the board in all of his starts. In the Blue Grass (G2), he ran against the bias to finish second and was sent off at 16-1 in the Derby. There, he did very little running, but connections have cited his distaste for the sloppy track. Win Win Win is another one of the late runners looking for that favorable pace. Use underneath.


Signalman [ HRN odds: 15-1 – 3 rd Blue Grass – General Quarters – K. McPeek/B. Hernandez Jr. – 7: 2-2-2 - $552,990] Signalman may be the horse that gets overlooked in this field and provides some value. In the Blue Grass, he was asked to stay in contention on that day because the track was playing to the speed horses. That worked against his preferred running style to make one closing move. The Preakness will mark his third start of the year and he should be at his best. Live longshot.

Laughing Fox [ HRN odds: 20-1 – 1 st Oaklawn Park Invitational – Union Rags – S. Asmussen/R. Santana Jr. – 7: 3-0-0 - $338,518] Laughing Fox won a spot in the Preakness field with his victory in the new Oaklawn Invitational. The Asmussen barn is red-hot lately, and this guy got his win after a wide, late closing move and against a speed bias. On the Derby trail at Oaklawn he was seventh in the Rebel (G2) and then fourth in the Arkansas Derby (G1). He’ll need to take another step up to contend at this level. Toss.

Warrior’s Charge [ HRN odds: 20-1 – 1 st  Allowance – Munnings – B. Cox/TBD – 5: 2-0-3 - $138,110] The ownership group of Warrior’s Charge is putting up $150,000 in supplemental fees given this colt wasn't Triple Crown nominated. I’m not sure what that tells us except that it will be tough for them to make any money with a horse that has only an allowance win after needing four tries to break his maiden. Granted, he has run better at longer distances. Mainly, his impact on the Preakness is early speed that should ensure a strong pace. Pretender.

Market King [ HRN odds: 30-1 – 11th Blue Grass (G2) – Into Mischief – D. W.Lukas/TBD – 5: 1-0-2 - $132,042] Hall of Fame trainer D. Wayne Lukas will seek his sixth victory in the Preakness with this son of Into Mischief. Remember that Lukas was the upset winner of this race as recently as 2013 with Oxbow. Market King has just a maiden win in February at Oaklawn Park to his credit. Since then he set the early pace in Omaha Beach's division of the Rebel (G2) and finished third. He was then 11th in the Blue Grass. He looks like he could add to the early pace. Toss.


Bodexpress [ HRN odds: 30-1 – 13 th Kentucky Derby – Bodemeister – G. Delgado/J. Velazquez – 6: M-3-0 - $208,700] Here is the maiden who is Grade 1-placed with earnings surpassing $200,000. In the Kentucky Derby, he hit the wire 14th  after starting from way outside and running into typical Derby traffic. He’s likely to remain a maiden after the Preakness, too. Toss.

Πηγή: horseracingnation

Θα έχει καλό καιρό λένε στην Βαλτιμόρη το Σάββατο και δεν θα δουμε την λασπουργια του ντέρμπι !αυτό ευνοεί τον improbable που θα έχει τον Σμιθ επανω!κοιτώντας τα speed ratings στο κεφάλι θα πάνε ενα εκ των:7,12 ,6 οποτε κάποιο άλογο, που θα ακολουθεί πίσω τους αποκτά τύχη!το ενα θα ειναι ο improbable ειναι πολύ δύσκολο να μην ειναι στην άφιξη μ' αυτους!το θέμα λοιπον ειναι να βρούμε το άλλο!μου αρέσουν πολύ οι πιθανότητες 2 αλόγων απο τα υπολοιπα! Το πρωτο ειναι ο bodexpress, που θα έχει τον βελασκεζ στην σέλα!στο Φλώριντα ντέρμπι τερμάτησε ακριβώς πίσω απο τον νικητή του Κεντάκι!στο Κεντάκι έτρεχε πολύ πίσω και μπλέχτηκε στις λάσπες!το άλλο ειναι το άλογο του Lukas ο market king! Ειδικότητα του να "ξεραινει"  το pimlico!

Οι τραϊφεκτες μου στην bet365 θα ειναι:
4/6,9/πεδίο τρικυλιομενες!
Δηλαδή..4/6,9/πεδίο,,,, 4/πεδίο/6,9,,,,6,9/4/πεδίο,,, 6,9/πεδίο/4,,,
Πεδίο/4/6,9,,,πεδίο/6,9/4

Απιστευτη εξελιξη ειχε η κουρσα,αφου ο bodexpress εκανε ανορθωση την ωρα της εκκινησης μετα απο ασχημο πιασιμο του βοηθου,που δεν αφησε τα χειρολουρα!

Pro με τα καραγκιοζιλικια,που είδα να γίνονται φέτος στις κούρσες του triple crown τον μπαφερτ πουθενά....τα άλογα του ντέρμπι να μην ξανά γράφονται λες και κάποιο χέρι "υποβάλλει" απο πανω τι θα γίνει μετα....βλέπω στο Μπέλμοντ τον γιαπωνέζο να τους ξεραινει!η κούρσα του στο ντέρμπι ηταν φοβερή!! Ηρθε απο πολύ πίσω στον "κώλο" τους κανοντας το καλυτερο παράθυρο μακράν...εγκλιματιστηκε στην Αμερική...και οι ίδιοι οι αμερικανοι,θα θέλουν να "κερδίσει" για να φέρουν και αλλους γιαπωνέζους ιδιοκτήτες,που το "φυσάνε"....!

Φίλε αυτό που λες το να μην γράφονται τα άλογα του ντέρμπι μου έκανε και εμένα πολύ παράξενο. Ο Ιαπωνέζος σε μια κούρσα που τον είχα δει να τρέχει έτσι έτρεξε ξεκίνησε από μακράν τελευταίο και άρχιζε να τα σκεπάζει ένα-ένα. Εδώ μπορεί όντως να προλάβει και την πάρει αλλά θέλει τύχη την ώρα που θα κάνει το φίνις να βρει διάδρομο, να μην κλειστεί πουθενά!

Ο master fencer  (3) με λεπαρου,ο spinoff (6) με καστελανο και
Ο Intrepid heart # 8 με βελασκεζ τα άλογα,που θα ανακατεψω στο Μπέλμοντ το Σάββατο βραδυ

Belmont stakes

Sir Winston (7)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZGpuF19ZrU0

O Master Fencer μπορούσε να πλασαριστεί τουλάχιστον, ο τζόκει όμως όχι!

Πράγματι ο Γιαπωνέζος ερχοτανε με 1000 ,αλλά όταν τελειωσε η κούρσα!!γενικά φέτος το τριπλ κράουν ηταν πολύ κατώτερο των περιστάσεων!άπειροι αναβάτες και πολύ κακές ιππευσεις!

O ιδιοκτήτης του Μαστερ Φένσερ φταίει. Επρεπε να πάρει τον Ντε Σόουζα από την Αγγλία να του τρέξει το άλογο που το παιδί τα φέρνει τα πίσω σε μεγάλες αποστάσεις.